UMH Properties: The 5.5% Yield Could Be Safe But Consider The …

Quaint summer living space accompanied with green pasture

saintho/iStock via Getty Images

UMH Properties (NYSE:UMH) last declared a quarterly cash dividend of £0.205 per share, in line with its prior payment and for a 5.5% yield. As of the end of the fiscal 2022 fourth quarter, the Freehold, New Jersey-based REIT had built a portfolio of 135 manufactured home communities containing around 25,700 home sites. This was an increase of 7 communities and 1,500 sites from its year-ago comp.

ChartData by YCharts

The REIT also owns just over 10,000 rental homes and anticipates adding at least 800 rental homes every year.

It recently entered into a £30 million revolving credit line to buy more rental property with its total likely set to top 11,000 homes this year. Growth will also come from internal development with the REIT owning nearly 2,100 vacant acres that can accommodate at least 7,800 future lots with there also being roughly 3,800 vacant units to fill.

Book Value, Funds From Operation, And The Payout Ratio

UMH currently trades on a market cap of £891 million with shares currently trading hands at £14.95 per share, falling from a 52-week peak of £25.46 per share. Hence, the commons are currently trading at a marked premium against a £5.62 per share book value.

The REIT currently sports a 2.67x price-to-book value which is around 91% higher than the average for its peer group.

ChartData by YCharts

Critically, it’s the income that matters here and this has been on an upward march since the pandemic. UMH has essentially raised its dividend every year since the pandemic with its 3-year dividend compound annual growth rate at 3.79%, which is almost 4x higher than its peer group median.

FFO per share for its fiscal 2022 fourth quarter came in at £0.20, down around 9.1% or £0.02 versus the year-ago comp and a miss by £0.03 on consensus estimates. Earnings were materially hampered by a still-rising Fed funds rate with 80% of UMH’s total debt of £762 million being fixed.

The weighted average interest rate on its mortgage debt stood at 3.93% exiting the fourth quarter, up 18 basis points from 3.75% in the year-ago period. Hence, FFO did not cover the dividend for the quarter with a payout ratio of 102.5%. However, management dismissed the risk to the payouts and flagged that their current occupancy at 93.3% is expected to strengthen.

This comes as their monthly rent per home increased by 5.9% to £873 per month as of the end of the fourth quarter.

The Series D Preferred Stock

UMH’s 6.375% Series D Cumulative Preferred Stock (NYSE:UMH.PD) pays out a £1.59 coupon for a 7.25% yield on cost. Whilst these started trading back in January 2018 and came up for redemption in January of this year, the prospect of a near-term redemption seems low on the back of the marked difference in the Fed funds rate now versus 2018. Hence, with their yield more than 175 basis points more than the commons they present a strong alternative to more risk-averse income investors.

UMH Properties 6.375% Series D Cumulative Preferred Stock

QuantumOnline

At £21.92 they’re trading at a 12.3% discount to their £25 par value with this gap widening in recent weeks on the back of the mini-banking panic that followed the Silicon Valley Bank failure.

Critically, this could represent a window of opportunity to build a position in the preferreds at its second-largest discount to par since it started trading. The largest was of course during the pandemic with the current gap likely to close as we head towards summer and once the market is assured that the banking panic is fully in the rearview mirror.

UMH Properties preferreds versus commons performance

Seeking Alpha

The Series D is up 83.6% on a total return basis over the last 3 years versus gains of around 80.3% on the commons. Over the last year and the preferreds are down 8.67% versus a loss of 35% on the commons.

This performance dichotomy is inherent with angst around a hawkish Fed and a rising rate environment pushing REITs to their lowest multiple in years. This dynamic will likely remain through the first half of 2023 with the Fed funds rate likely set for one final 25 basis point hike. With the Series D being perpetual and cumulative its owners are set to receive the £1.59 coupon indefinitely.

The risk to this coupon is minuscule with the preferreds ranked higher than the commons on UMH’s capital structure.

The biggest disruption would probably come from interest rates moving beyond current market expectations if inflation remains sticky. Preferreds are essentially fixed-income instruments with an equity-like structure. The positive duration effect has already seen lower-interest bonds and preferreds trade at persistent discounts to par since the Fed started its most aggressive hiking cycle in over a decade.

I think both the commons and preferreds offer value here.

The preferreds offer a higher yield and a built-in margin of safety against a still uncertain macroeconomic backdrop.

The dividend paid to common shareholders is on the up and sports a healthy coverage ratio supported by a growing portfolio of manufactured homes.

Tags:

ebay listed on couponmatrix.ukblackpool-tower-and-circus listed on couponmatrix.ukcolourpop listed on couponmatrix.ukfiverr listed on couponmatrix.ukneonbeach listed on couponmatrix.ukrenogy-solar listed on couponmatrix.uk
ebay listed on couponmatrix.ukA bastion for independent brands and second-hand sellers alike, eBay has long solidified itself as THE internet marketplace to buy anything and everything. Whether you’ve got your sights set on a particular product or looking to snap up something spontaneous, an eBay discount code can secure savings on everything from outdoor furniture to champagne flutes. Regardless of if you’re looking for fashion, homeware, toys or electronics – if you’re looking, then there’s likely someone who’s eager to sell it on eBay.
blackpool-tower-and-circus listed on couponmatrix.ukWelcome to Blackpool Tower, one of Britain's most loved landmarks. Dating back to 1894, the tower has been an important centerpiece to Blackpool's tourism and for good reason. With events, a circus, a ballroom, and even a creepy dungeon, the tower is the perfect trip for many occasions. With your Blackpool Tower vouchers, now you can enjoy a fantastic day out for less. If you're brave you can walk to the top of Tower Eye and stare down see-through glass flooring, or perhaps instead partake in mini-golf at the tower, whatever it is, the tower is a perfect attraction for you.
colourpop listed on couponmatrix.ukKeep the cost of cosmetics low with ColourPop, the makeup provider that ensures variety without skimping on quality. Offering new ways to invent your look from your lips to your skin, delve into their incredibly affordable selection with a ColourPop discount code and find yourself swimming in cruelty-free makeup for months to come. Those looking for something truly special can sample their cosmetic collaborations with famous YouTubers and brands like Disney to create a facial style that truly stands out in a crowd.
fiverr listed on couponmatrix.ukFulfil your professional ambitions with Fiverr – the freelancer platform where you can outsource anything from copywriters to website developers. Offering bespoke creative, business and analytical services in the form of ‘gigs’, you can develop your brand with Fiverr’s expert help for less using a Fiverr promo code. Be it a new and interesting infographic to help push transactions or a fresh visual effect to modernise your website, any possibility can become reality with Fiverr.
neonbeach listed on couponmatrix.ukNightclub-quality neon lights for the home—that’s NeonBeach. Whether you want to light up the room with an inspirational quote or cosmic art, NeonBeach gives you the freedom to live creatively and customise your neon lights with a dizzying array of colours. Although you might think this would be expensive, it’s actually really affordable with a NeonBeach discount code from Groupon. These lights are such high quality they’ll last for years to come, and they’re eco-friendly too!
renogy-solar listed on couponmatrix.ukSwitching to solar-powered energy might seem like an impossible feat, but it’s more achievable than you might think with Renogy Solar. If you have a campervan, need a backup energy source for your home or fancy living totally off-grid, a Renogy Solar energy panel could help you beat rising energy costs and say goodbye to pricey energy bills. Take a look at our Renogy discount codes and we’ll help you power your next adventure while keeping the cost down. The planet will thank you too.