UMH Properties: The 5.5% Yield Could Be Safe But Consider The …

Quaint summer living space accompanied with green pasture

saintho/iStock via Getty Images

UMH Properties (NYSE:UMH) last declared a quarterly cash dividend of £0.205 per share, in line with its prior payment and for a 5.5% yield. As of the end of the fiscal 2022 fourth quarter, the Freehold, New Jersey-based REIT had built a portfolio of 135 manufactured home communities containing around 25,700 home sites. This was an increase of 7 communities and 1,500 sites from its year-ago comp.

ChartData by YCharts

The REIT also owns just over 10,000 rental homes and anticipates adding at least 800 rental homes every year.

It recently entered into a £30 million revolving credit line to buy more rental property with its total likely set to top 11,000 homes this year. Growth will also come from internal development with the REIT owning nearly 2,100 vacant acres that can accommodate at least 7,800 future lots with there also being roughly 3,800 vacant units to fill.

Book Value, Funds From Operation, And The Payout Ratio

UMH currently trades on a market cap of £891 million with shares currently trading hands at £14.95 per share, falling from a 52-week peak of £25.46 per share. Hence, the commons are currently trading at a marked premium against a £5.62 per share book value.

The REIT currently sports a 2.67x price-to-book value which is around 91% higher than the average for its peer group.

ChartData by YCharts

Critically, it’s the income that matters here and this has been on an upward march since the pandemic. UMH has essentially raised its dividend every year since the pandemic with its 3-year dividend compound annual growth rate at 3.79%, which is almost 4x higher than its peer group median.

FFO per share for its fiscal 2022 fourth quarter came in at £0.20, down around 9.1% or £0.02 versus the year-ago comp and a miss by £0.03 on consensus estimates. Earnings were materially hampered by a still-rising Fed funds rate with 80% of UMH’s total debt of £762 million being fixed.

The weighted average interest rate on its mortgage debt stood at 3.93% exiting the fourth quarter, up 18 basis points from 3.75% in the year-ago period. Hence, FFO did not cover the dividend for the quarter with a payout ratio of 102.5%. However, management dismissed the risk to the payouts and flagged that their current occupancy at 93.3% is expected to strengthen.

This comes as their monthly rent per home increased by 5.9% to £873 per month as of the end of the fourth quarter.

The Series D Preferred Stock

UMH’s 6.375% Series D Cumulative Preferred Stock (NYSE:UMH.PD) pays out a £1.59 coupon for a 7.25% yield on cost. Whilst these started trading back in January 2018 and came up for redemption in January of this year, the prospect of a near-term redemption seems low on the back of the marked difference in the Fed funds rate now versus 2018. Hence, with their yield more than 175 basis points more than the commons they present a strong alternative to more risk-averse income investors.

UMH Properties 6.375% Series D Cumulative Preferred Stock

QuantumOnline

At £21.92 they’re trading at a 12.3% discount to their £25 par value with this gap widening in recent weeks on the back of the mini-banking panic that followed the Silicon Valley Bank failure.

Critically, this could represent a window of opportunity to build a position in the preferreds at its second-largest discount to par since it started trading. The largest was of course during the pandemic with the current gap likely to close as we head towards summer and once the market is assured that the banking panic is fully in the rearview mirror.

UMH Properties preferreds versus commons performance

Seeking Alpha

The Series D is up 83.6% on a total return basis over the last 3 years versus gains of around 80.3% on the commons. Over the last year and the preferreds are down 8.67% versus a loss of 35% on the commons.

This performance dichotomy is inherent with angst around a hawkish Fed and a rising rate environment pushing REITs to their lowest multiple in years. This dynamic will likely remain through the first half of 2023 with the Fed funds rate likely set for one final 25 basis point hike. With the Series D being perpetual and cumulative its owners are set to receive the £1.59 coupon indefinitely.

The risk to this coupon is minuscule with the preferreds ranked higher than the commons on UMH’s capital structure.

The biggest disruption would probably come from interest rates moving beyond current market expectations if inflation remains sticky. Preferreds are essentially fixed-income instruments with an equity-like structure. The positive duration effect has already seen lower-interest bonds and preferreds trade at persistent discounts to par since the Fed started its most aggressive hiking cycle in over a decade.

I think both the commons and preferreds offer value here.

The preferreds offer a higher yield and a built-in margin of safety against a still uncertain macroeconomic backdrop.

The dividend paid to common shareholders is on the up and sports a healthy coverage ratio supported by a growing portfolio of manufactured homes.

caledonian-travel listed on couponmatrix.ukcentre-of-excellence listed on couponmatrix.ukthe-celtic-manor-resort-ltd listed on couponmatrix.ukthomas-cook listed on couponmatrix.ukvoxi listed on couponmatrix.ukwe-buy-any-car listed on couponmatrix.uk
caledonian-travel listed on couponmatrix.ukEmbark on your next adventure with Caledonian Travel, your go-to destination for booking coach holidays in the UK, Ireland or Europe. With Caledonian Travel, you have the opportunity to discover some of the most breathtaking scenery in Britain, from picturesque seaside towns to serene countryside landscapes. Alternatively, you can opt for a thrilling family getaway to Alton Towers or set your sights on exploring European cities like Vienna. Make use of a Caledonian Travel discount code to unlock substantial discounts, turning your dream trip into a budget-friendly reality. Simply select your desired destination and departure location to start your travel plans.
centre-of-excellence listed on couponmatrix.ukGet ahead of the game and educate yourself on something new at the Centre of Excellence. The exemplary online learning platform for everything from animal care to history, you can learn a thing or two for less today by signing up with a Centre of Excellence discount code from Groupon. Whether you’re looking to put yourself ahead of the professional competition or simply learn something fresh, discover a world you never knew at the Centre of Excellence.
the-celtic-manor-resort-ltd listed on couponmatrix.ukOriginal home of the coal and iron trader, Thomas Powell Jr, the grand manor house building at the Celtic Manor Resort dates back to the 1860’s and was eventually converted into a hotel in 1982. After significant expansion in the 1990’s, the estate grew into the splendid 330-bedroom resort we know today. Your Celtic Manor promo code offers you and loved the opportunity of a sumptuous night or two away, at one of the UK’s best hotels.
thomas-cook listed on couponmatrix.ukFly away in style with the help of Thomas Cook. Whether it’s a city break, backpacking holiday or a cruise you’re after, you’ll be able to make a major saving on your hotels, flights and activities in your dream destination with the help of a Thomas Cook discount code on top of your next booking. Simply type in your free dates, your top spot to visit and you’ll be on your way to sun, sea and sand in no time.
voxi listed on couponmatrix.ukFor those who love their entertainment on the fly, VOXI is the mobile network to get your daily dose of fun and not worry about using up your data. Thanks to a wealth of competitive mobile phone plans, you can use VOXI deals to browse, stream and listen without compromise for a minimal price. Bolstered by a store of top quality phone brands including Apple, Huawei and Samsung, you can get enjoy a whole new flexible mobile experience in a single shop.
we-buy-any-car listed on couponmatrix.ukDon’t let your tired, old C1 or Ford Fiesta sit in a garage – sell it through We Buy Any Car for a cash payment in less than an hour! Enter your registration on the website to get a free valuation and then book an appointment at a branch that is usually just 13 minutes away. Sell your car with convenience and use a We Buy Any Car voucher code to land the best deal with a four-day price guarantee. We Buy Any Car will purchase vehicles in any condition and with any mileage, so sell over the website to get your car taken off your hands without the haggle.